If it is one thing that no one denies it is that Dato Seri Anwar Ibrahim is an outstanding orator.
But with clever semantic manipulation for dramatic effect and at a closer look, no substance. His recent speech in Phnom Penh is dissected here with its misconceptions and inaccuracies. He said,
"Indeed, regardless of the locus of the upheaval, where the formula for repressive rule is founded on the suppression of dissent by state controlled organs, such as the police, security forces or the military, the powers that be can only continue to be so as long as these organs do their bidding. As we witnessed in Tunisia, and then more significantly in Egypt, when these organs malfunction, or refuse to do their bidding, the entire substratum of control collapses enabling the people to progress from mere assemblies of protest to a virtual behemoth of regime change."
This article severely dents and in fact contradicts Anwar's assertion. The Tunisian military not only had a considerable role in toppling the previous Govt but will have a significant role for a future one.
"The best-case scenario is a move toward a liberal democracy. The worst case is a perpetual state of chaos, followed by another autocratic or even theocratic regime. Whatever the final result, it is clear that the Tunisian army will have a significant role in shaping the future of this North African state."
While Hosni Mubarak has resigned, the country is still led by the military and as far as Yemen, Bahrain and Libya is concerned, don't hold your breath.
"Egyptians want the military junta-led government to resign and immediately release all political prisoners. They're outraged by no reforms, and because Prime Minister Ahmed Shafiq reshuffled his cabinet, leaving Mubarak cronies in power."
This interview gives a reader insights into the Egyptian upheaval but in that interview is an interesting remark,
"At the same time, one of the first communiqués by the army stated clearly and unequivocally that Egypt will honor all its treaties and all its international covenants that it has signed up to. At the end of the day, it's the army."
Yes the leaders in Tunisia and Egypt has been deposed but while Anwar exhorts "a virtual behemoth of regime change" there is actually NO behemoth change in regime, the Military regime.
Anwar further says,
"The problems that plague the Middle Eastern nations are no different from those affecting other parts of the world under autocratic regimes."
Accentuating "Middle Eastern" and lines that follow in that paragraph is indeed clever but alas misleading in his context. The Middle East is described as countries of southwest Asia and northeast Africa. The most notable uprisings are occurring in Tunisia and Libya, both North African countries. Only Egypt can be considered northeast Africa.
If one were to scrutinise southwest Asia, hot spots in the region do not show considerable unrest and discord save for Bahrain and Yemen.
I will stop at this point for the moment.